"The electoral instability occurring in DRCongo was predictable due to the various signs of incapacity, on the one hand, and the insufficiency of the Independent National Electoral Commission (CENI) in dealing with a series of issues that are decisive for the smoothness of the electoral process", on the other, said the analyst in statements to Lusa.
To support his arguments, Osvaldo Mboco said that the voter registration process in that African country did not comply with the principle and criteria of national territoriality.
"In other words, registration was not carried out throughout the national territory, bearing in mind that there are still locations controlled by rebel groups and that CENI was prevented from doing so", he highlighted.
At least 22 candidates, including the current outgoing President, Félix Tshisekedi, are running in the presidential elections scheduled for next Wednesday, December 20th, the same date on which legislative, provincial and municipal elections are also due to take place.
For Osvaldo Mboco, the high number of presidential candidates in DRCongo, "which as a rule create dispersion of votes", as well as the presence of dead citizens in the computer files of voting citizens, are factors that raise the "phantom of fraud".
"Deceased citizens were not purged from the file and this always raises the prospect of the specter of electoral fraud and also the small incidents that resulted from political parties that did not have access to the electoral rolls", he pointed out.
"These are all elements that always create a gray cloud in the electoral process, which is why electoral processes in Africa are always characterized as difficult, they are always characterized by uncertainty", he added.
Mboco noted, on the other hand, that everything that happens in DRCongo is of interest to Angola, especially due to the geographic proximity of the States, which share an extensive land border of more than 2500 kilometers.
He even understands that any and all security and political changes that take place in DRCongo "end up having implications for the Angolan State".
If there is a post-electoral crisis in DRCongo and this crisis "turns into a political crisis and slides into a military crisis", he signaled, Angola could find itself dealing with a wave of refugees.
"And Angola is forced to accept these probable refugees, as a result of this military crisis that may be due to the electoral process, so there is this danger for the Angolan State", concluded the university professor.
Félix Tshisekedi, Moisés Katumbi, Martin Fayulu, Denis Mukwege, Delly Sesenga and Adolphe Muzito are the main names in the electoral campaign in DRCongo, whose instability continues to be evident in the eastern region with actions carried out by the March 23 Movement (M23).
The UN recently expressed concern about the increased risk of "direct military confrontation" between DRCongo and Rwanda, at a time when Kinshasa is calling for the withdrawal of peacekeeping forces.
At a meeting of the UN Security Council, the head of the United Nations mission in DRCongo, Bintou Keita, highlighted the "continuous and growing" insecurity in the east, especially related to the new crisis of the M23, one of the most important militias in North Kivu, but also the emergence of new pockets of insecurity in other parts of the country, namely in the Greater Katanga region, as well as in the provinces of Mai-Ndombe and Tshopo.
